In April 2003, TransCanada
received notice from some customers that they did not
intend to renew 800,000+ GJ/d of firm capacity. Almost
90 per cent of this non renewed capacity was long haul.
In the recent Open Season, shippers' bids demonstrated
that the market using this capacity has not eroded. The
majority of the Open Season bids were for short haul capacity
into the market area.
Shippers bid for 500,000+ GJ/d of short haul capacity
originating at Dawn while only approximately 200,000
GJ/d was available. With demand for short haul Dawn
capacity exceeding available capacity, the market will
be looking for a solution to manage the additional requirement
for 300,000+ GJ/d.
One solution is to provide alternative short haul capacity
to the market from the North Bay Junction. By leveraging
the flexibility of TransCanada's integrated system and
efficiently utilizing the existing and recently non
renewed 800,000+ GJ/d of capacity on the Northern Ontario
Segment of the Mainline, TransCanada could meet this
market need today through the North Bay Junction.
With respect to long haul, the North Bay Junction's
available capacity, similar distance and tolls from
Empress to the market (North Bay $1.031 / GJ, SWZ /
Dawn $1.038 / GJ), complement and add flexibility to
the SWZ / Dawn for shippers wanting alternative access
the current and growing Eastern Canadian and Northeast
US markets. (Both North Bay and Dawn tolls were calculated
using approved toll methodology and distance credits).
TransCanada expects up to 1 Bcf/d of incremental gas
demand in the U.S. Northeast and Eastern Canada over
the next 5 years that could further utilize excess North
Bay Junction capacity. Two real examples include the
planned expansions on the Iroquois Gas Transmission
and Maritimes & Northeast Pipeline to serve the New
York and Boston market. The establishment of North Bay
positions TransCanada to compete effectively for these
requirements for incremental capacity, through the utilization
of existing capacity or the addition of new facilities.
Our hope is to attract volumes onto the System, to the
benefit of all Mainline customers.
TransCanada envisions the North Bay Junction becoming
a liquid and viable trading point that complements the
SWZ / Dawn by leveraging existing services like diversions.
Diversions would provide customers the flexibility to
deliver gas to and from SWZ / Dawn to North Bay. TransCanada
will consider developing an exchange type service to
add additional flexibility and liquidity for deliveries
to and from North Bay as part of its longer-term business
model.
When will the North Bay
Junction contracts be available?
The North Bay Junction application is currently before
the NEB. Therefore, TransCanada's ability to contract
for service to or from North Bay is conditional on TransCanada
first obtaining NEB approval. Any requests for such
capacity will be processed using current Open Season
procedures as per the Transportation Access Procedures
of the Tariff.
As the market demand for short haul services requested
at Dawn significantly exceeds the available capacity,
TransCanada is seeking approval as soon as possible
and has asked the NEB to provide approval by November
1, 2003.
Subsequent to the filing of the North Bay Junction
application on September 15, 2003, the NEB invited parties
to submit comments on the appropriate process to adjudicate
the North Bay Junction application. After receiving
these comments, the NEB has decided to hold a facilitated
workshop to discuss relevant issues. The workshop will
be open to all of TransCanada's Mainline stakeholders.
TransCanada will continue to advance the discussions
with industry stakeholders on the next steps required
to move toward a business model with additional customer
choice, added service flexibility, and competitively
priced services. This is to facilitate the long haul
and short haul movement of gas into and out of the market
area. The addition of the South West Zone (SWZ) was
one step towards achieving the objectives of TransCanada's
evolving business model. The establishment of North
Bay will complement the SWZ as a receipt and delivery
point for both long and short haul services as TransCanada
continues to progress towards enhancing access to short
haul services, meeting real market demand and positioning
TransCanada to take advantage of future incremental
market growth.
For more information
If you are interested in contracting from or to North
Bay or would like to discuss the status of the application,
please contact your Customer Sales Representative or
Dean
Ferguson (403) 920-5553.